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Rained out

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It's Severe Weather Awareness Week in Atlanta, and the schools and government agencies were supposed to practice their responses to bad weather yesterday. But the drill was canceled because of . . . wait for it . . . bad weather.

Well, at least they were aware of it.

Source: James Taranto

Aliens in Roswell

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Are there aliens in Roswell, New Mexico? People have been debating that question since 1947. Now the matter has been settled. Last week, the Immigration and Customs Enforcement authorities arrested 15 aliens in Roswell. What were they doing there? Painting military airplanes!

The cursive menace

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Three years ago, I joined Bob in criticizing the practice of teaching cursive writing in schools. At the time, I condemned cursive for being illegible, but it didn't occur to me that it can actually kill people. However, in one particular context -- the handwriting of doctors -- sloppy handwriting can cause prescriptions to be filled incorrectly. The result could be harmful or even fatal. Recently, the state of Washington addressed this issue by passing a law that forbids physicians from using cursive writing in prescriptions. On prescription slips in the state of Washington, cursive is now illegal.

Some people are already making fun of the new law. On the blog of the libertarian Cato Institute, Michael Cannon calls it "really, really dumb." Blogger Pejman Yousefzadeh asks, "Doesn't government have more important things to worry about than this?" But despite my normally libertarian leanings, I approve of this law. In fact, I say it doesn't go far enough.

Medical mistakes can kill people. If doctors' sloppy handwriting leads to such mistakes, it's inexcusable for them to continue writing that way. The medical profession should have solved this problem on its own, but if doctors are not willing to do so, it's reasonable for governments to step in. In an ideal free-market economy, this would not be necessary, but health care is heavily regulated in our society and thus largely insulated from market forces. If our governments are going to regulate doctors, requiring them to write clearly is a valid part of that. Besides, governments created this problem in the first place by teaching cursive writing in public schools. It's only fitting that they should have to solve it.

So Washington's new law is a good idea. But why does it only apply to prescriptions? The harm caused by doctors' sloppy handwriting is not limited to prescription slips. It also occurs when their treatment instructions are illegible, leading to medical mistakes that can be a deadly as an incorrect prescription. This law should have prohibited doctors from using cursive for any written instructions, not just prescriptions.

Medical schools should be teaching a handwriting class -- one that concentrates on clear, legible printing. If doctors write illegible instructions that lead to harmful treatment mistakes, that should be grounds for a malpractice suit.

Now, can we get the public schools to drop cursive writing from their curriculum and use the class time to teach something useful?

Postage rate hike

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The cost of mailing a first-class letter in the U.S. went up to 39 cents yesterday, an increase of two cents. This was part of an overall USPS rate increase. Perhaps you already knew about this, but I had no idea a rate hike was coming until I stumbled across a reference to it at Lifehacker today.

Thibodaux

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As I mentioned in my previous entry, I was born in Louisiana. Specifically, I was born in the town of Thibodaux (pronounced "TIB-uh-doe"), about 40 miles east-southeast of New Orleans. It occurred to me today that I really should use the Web to find out how my birthplace was affected by Hurricane Katrina. After the scenes of devastation in New Orleans that we've all seen over the last few days, I was afraid of what I might learn. I braced myself and opened my browser, half expecting to find that the town had been entirely destroyed.

But Thibodaux is still there and in relatively good condition. Thanks to the Daily Comet, I've learned that the town suffered wind damage and power failures, but wasn't flooded. And now Thidodaux is hosting refugees from New Orleans. Nearly a thousand people are being sheltered on the campus of Nicholls State University. A field hospital has also been set up at NSU to handle the overflow from Thibodaux Regional Medical Center, which is full.

I can't claim any real connection with Thibodaux other than having been born there; I don't even remember the place. But I still feel proud of my birthplace for what it's doing to help the victims of the hurricane.

The maestro's workshop

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Researchers in Italy have discovered the secret laboratory of Leonardo da Vinci. Dan Brown should be able to get another bestseller out of this.

Getting the news

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The hallmark of a historic event is that people remember where they were when they first heard about it. I don't know whether the death of former President Ronald Reagan will be remembered in those terms, but I will record here that I was in the Green Room at Raleigh Little Theatre. Tech Week for Smokey Joe's Cafe began today. That's the week of dress rehearsals (with light and sound cues, scenery and props) that precedes opening night. It's traditional for the cast to provide dinner for the crew on the first night of Tech Week, so it was during Tech Dinner that I heard the news of Reagan's passing from the other techies sitting at my table.

I remember where I was when President Reagan almost died in 1981. On March 30, 1981, I was in my room at the Bates West dormitory at the University of South Carolina. I don't recall exactly how I first got the news, but I remember that within an hour or two of the shooting, The State published an extra edition reporting all of the information that was available. The newspaper carrier who normally delivered the paper to Bates West subscribers came through the dorm knocking on doors and offering the extra for sale. I bought a copy, and I still have it somewhere. It was the only extra edition of a newspaper I had ever seen.

And I've never seen another one. It's hard to imagine a newspaper rushing out a special edition today. What would be the point? By the time they can print it and deliver it to customers, those people will already have seen the same information on CNN, or read it on any of a hundred news sites on the Web.

Of course, the same thing is true of the regular daily edition of any newspaper. By the time it reaches your front porch, it's already out of date. That's one of the reasons I don't subscribe to a daily newspaper anymore.

Still here

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Isabel's eye has reached the Virginia border, so it's now moving away from us. Apparently we've survived unscathed.

So far, so good

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It's intermittently windy with occasional strong gusts, but no sustained high winds. And it's not even raining hard. According to the news reports, the eye has reached land. Isabel is 600-700 miles across, so that means we're definitely inside it already. Perhaps conditions won't get any worse than this. If so, we'll be just fine here. No power outages to speak of yet (a fraction-of-a second flicker earlier this morning, but only the computers noticed).

Isabel 1, IBM 0

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IBM has closed the Raleigh site for today because of Hurricane Isabel. Campbell University hasn't canceled classes, but Marie is taking the day off.

There's a light rain falling and a bit of wind, but nothing that suggests the approach of a Category 2 hurricane. However, the day is still young.

Brace for impact

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Today has been surreal. The weather was as beautiful as anyone could ask for: bright sunshine, clear blue skies, and light breeze. As I cruised up Six Forks Road with the windows of my Eclipse rolled down, enjoying a perfect fall morning, I couldn't even convince myself that there was a chance of rain, let alone that a hurricane with 100-mile-per-hour winds was bearing down on us. But at work, I looked at the latest weather reports on the Web and saw pictures like these:

As Rachel Lucas so eloquently put it, holy crap. All through the day, I looked at satellite photos of Hurricane Isabel and forecasts showing that North Carolina was squarely in its path, and I tried to reconcile this information with the calm and sunny conditions outside. "It will be here tomorrow," I said to myself at least a dozen times. But it was just impossible to accept.

When I left work at 5:15, there were a few wispy clouds in the sky, but it was still a beautiful day. I intended to drive home, eat a quick supper, and then head into Cary for choir practice at 7:30. On the way home, I thought I would stop at the Cary BJ's and refuel my car. (Marie had already filled up the minivan's tank, but with a hurricane on the way, it wouldn't hurt to have a second vehicle fully fueled.) My plan began to unravel almost immediately. Traffic was exceptionally heavy on Six Forks Road, and I ended up having to take an alternate route to Highway 1, which was also badly congested. (Was this caused by the approaching hurricane in some way? I couldn't tell.) It was 6:00 by the time I got to BJ's, but I forgot all about the time when I saw that every pump was in use, and a line of cars extended all the way out to the entrance from the street.

A gasoline line. I hadn't seen one of those since the early '70s. Obviously I wasn't the only person who had decided that a full gas tank was a good idea. In fact, a tanker truck was busy topping off the gas station's underground tanks. I decided that every other gas station in town probably had a similar line, and I might as well get in this one and wait my turn. The whole process only took half an hour, which seemed pretty reasonable under the circumstances. And I was impressed by how patient and courteous everyone was about the whole business. But after all, we North Carolinians have been through half a dozen hurricanes since Fran hit in 1996. We know the drill now, and when we hear that another one is on the way, we react with grim resignation, not panic.

It was now 6:30 -- too late for me to go home for supper and still get to choir practice on time. I called home on my mobile phone. Ben answered and informed me that the rest of the family had eaten an early supper so that Marie and Ruth could get to Raleigh Little Theatre by 7:00. (Right, they were working a performance tonight.) I told him I wouldn't be home until after choir practice and went to the food court at Cary Towncenter Mall (a few minutes from the church).

When the practice ended at about 9:15, the sky had finally become overcast. But there was still no hint of rain, and no wind beyond the gentlest of breezes. I drove home. It was now time to make final preparations for tomorrow's hurricane. Ben had already filled up the 30-gallon trash can in the garage that we use as an emergency water supply. (I bought it for that purpose after Hurricane Fran, and it has never been used for trash.) When Marie and Ruth got home, we cleared as much space in the garage as possible and then brought in everything that the hurricane might try to turn into a missile: the swing, chairs, and ceramic animals from the front porch, the rolling trash bin, our potted plants, and even the extension ladder.

Were we prepared for a power failure? We had plenty of flashlights, and I had started charging our rechargeable batteries last night. Time to do anything else that required electricity while we still had it. We plugged our mobile phones and Palms into their chargers. I loaded and started the dishwasher, then sorted laundry and started that washing too.

Marie stocked up on canned goods this morning, and we have a propane stove and two bottles of fuel (something else I bought after Fran). We have two oil lamps and several bottles of oil. Ruth and Ben don't have to go to school; the Wake County schools have already announced that they are closed tomorrow. IBM and Campbell University haven't announced closings yet, but they probably won't make a decision until morning. Nothing to do now but go to bed.

We're ready. Bring on the storm.

Earthquakes and hit points

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Listening to BBC Newshour on the radio this morning, I heard a report about the earthquake in Turkey. At one point, the reporter spoke with a British earthquake expert, and I realized that I know the guy. Well, sort of. I've never met him, and I was hearing his voice for the first time. But we actually exchanged e-mail messages a few years ago.

The reasons for this go back to 1979, when I was first introduced to Dungeons & Dragons by friends at the University of South Carolina. If you spent any time in game or hobby stores, you were familiar with a monthly magazine called The Dragon, published by TSR Hobbies (the same company as the D&D game itself). But there was another magazine, White Dwarf, that you could only find in a few stores because it was a British import (published by Games Workshop). Issue 15 (October/November 1979) contained an article called "How to Lose Hit Points . . . and Survive" by a British gamer named Roger Musson. I didn't see that issue of White Dwarf, because the Columbia hobby shop where I was hanging out didn't carry the magazine. But a few years later, while browsing in Silver City Comics (a much cooler store in Cayce), I stumbled across a copy of The Best of White Dwarf Articles II, a 1983 compilation of material from issues 15 through 30. I found several of the articles interesting and bought it. The Musson article was included, and I was particularly impressed by it.

Fast-forward to early 1997. A discussion of the hit point rules (and ideas for improving them) was in progress in the D&D newsgroup. I thought Musson's article was relevant, so I posted a summary. To my astonishment, Musson himself responded, expressing delight that the article was still remembered two decades after he wrote it. I sent him a note praising the article and asking some nitpicky questions about it, which he was happy to answer. In the course of all this, I learned that he was now a seismologist working for the British Geological Survey. In fact, he seemed to be a rather prominent seismologist -- at one point, I ran a Web search to see if he had a gaming-related site (he didn't), and found numerous references to, and quotations from, his research.

So this morning, when a BBC reporter introduced an earthquake scientist named Roger Musson, I knew immediately who she was talking to. BBC World Service doesn't seem to have an online archive of their radio reports, but this transcript of their report about Turkey's last major earthquake (in 1999) includes some quotes from him. His remarks this morning were quite similar: he discussed the tectonic forces at work in that part of the world, and the Turkish construction practices that tend to exacerbate the death toll when a quake occurs.

Thanks to the BBC, a great many people heard Musson on the radio today. But how many of them know that he used to play D&D, have a copy of his article about hit points, and have conversed with him by e-mail? I'm such a geek.

(Note: The Dragon exists today as Dragon Magazine, now published by Paizo Publishing. White Dwarf is also still around, and is even still published by Games Workshop. But it's now devoted entirely to miniatures-based wargames like Warhammer.)

UPDATE: You can listen to the BBC radio segment here. Dragon Magazine's print edition ceased publication in September 2007, but the magazine lives on as a part of the D&D Insider website.

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